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Last week, the White House released its “2025 AI Action Plan”: a 28-page executive-led strategy to secure America’s global leadership in artificial intelligence. AEI AI expert?John Bailey evaluates?the potential and?gaps?in the president’s approach.

Alongside artificial intelligence, semiconductor manufacturing remains the other vital technological front in the United States’ competition with China. In a new AEI report,?Chip War?author?Chris Miller explains?the international semiconductor trade and its implications for US tariff policy.

One of Trump’s most important first-term accomplishments was creating a bipartisan consensus to respond to China’s growing threat. However,?Hal Brands warns?that Trump’s tariff agenda, and many other second-term actions, are undermining US capability and leverage—and in turn increasing the risks of the very hot war his first term sought to deter.

Much of the United States’ economic vitality depends on its statistical system: the federal government’s data collecting and reporting that every business sector uses. In a new open letter, AEI economists including?Michael R. Strain, R. Glenn Hubbard, Stan Veuger, and Bruce D. Meyer highlight?the urgent need for investment and innovation in these agencies to preserve their quality and integrity.

Unconditional cash assistance for parents has become increasingly popular on the left and the populist right after the temporary child tax credit expansion in 2021 and the nearly passed proposed extension in 2024. AEI Center on Opportunity and Social Mobility Deputy Director?Kevin Corinth calls attention?to a new four-year study that shows there is no evidence that this kind of assistance helps children.

Depopulation Globally and in the Asia-Pacific: The Shape of Things to Come

With birth rates plummeting worldwide, humanity faces the prospect of a declining planetary population for the first time since the Black Death in the 1300s. In a new journal article in?Fertility and Sterility, AEI economist and demographic expert Nicholas Eberstadt assesses these trends and their far-reaching consequences.?Eberstadt argues?that world population decline may come sooner than commonly anticipated, due to remarkable drops in birth rates underway in low-income and more developed locales. Notwithstanding uncertainties about the precise level of planetary fertility (due mainly to limited statistical capabilities in Africa), it is clear that overall childbearing patterns for our species are at most only slightly above the replacement level today—and might already actually have fallen below that significant threshold. Prolonged sub-replacement fertility will have far-reaching social, economic, and political ramifications.

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